Two usually well-sourced reporters, Josh Rogin and Eli Lake of the Daily Beast, have
this inside picture of the administration debate over how to handle ISIL [I guess I'll use the administration's term for consistency].
There were deep divisions inside the administration's deliberations
over Syria. One set of officials advocated for a campaign to decimate
ISIS in both countries by striking ISIS targets across Syria. This camp
pushed for hitting near Aleppo where they are advancing, and with at
least some coordination with the moderate Syrian rebels. The
group, which included officials from State Department, intelligence
community and some parts of the military, came up with extensive
targeting options for the president that included not only ISIS military
assets, but their infrastructure, command and control, and their
financial capabilities. Even the oil pipelines they use to export crude
for cash were on the target list.
Another
group of officials -- led by White House and National Security staffers
but also including some intelligence and military officials -- favored a
more cautious approach that spurned any cooperation with the Free
Syrian Army and focused strikes inside Syria on targets near the Iraqi
border. The objective: cut off ISIS supply lines to Iraq. That strategy
would fall more squarely within the existing limited missions that Obama
has already outlined for his war.
Inside the intelligence
community, there is a dispute about whether the Free Syrian Army, which
has been fighting ISIS in Syria all year with little international support, can be a reliable partner for any military mission inside Syria.
Senior
U.S. intelligence officials say the official assessment from the Office
of the Director of National Intelligence recommended against working
with the Free Syrian Army.
This suggests to me that the key issue for the President is whether the United States could have a reliable working relationship with the Syrian opposition, and we probably have limited information on which to make that judgment. So the problem is how to deal with the admitted threat of ISIL throughout the region while also dealing with the Syrian civil war, the unstable Iraqi political situation, and the growing disarray among Arab governments supposedly friendly to America.
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